ESPN’s Football Power Index has Tennessee Football winning only six games, which seems a bit low after recent projections and rankings.
As we get closer to the summer and inch towards football season, we’re seeing projections and rankings for Tennessee football, including the most recent projection from ESPN’s Football Power Index.
The FPI has been near perfect in predicting Jeremy Pruitt’s first two seasons at Tennessee. They pegged the Vols at five wins in 2018 and seven wins in 2019. That’s exactly where the Vols were at the end of each regular season, and the Vols went on to win its eighth game of the 2019 season with its bowl win.
So assuming that the FPI will be right for the third straight season when predicting Tennessee’s record, the Vols will go 6-6 in the regular season and 7-5 at best.
After winning seven games in the regular season last year, a lot of Vol fans and even many within the program are expecting the Vols to take the next step forward. Unfortunately, Tennessee’s schedule isn’t very helpful when it comes to having a lot of winnable games.
According to the FPI, Tennessee has five likely wins, four likely losses, and three tossups. There are still a lot of unknowns when it comes to what Tennessee will look like offensively.
The quarterback position needs to be filled, and we could see USC transfer J.T. Daniels coming to Rocky Top to add himself to the mix.
Tennessee also has a zero-percent chance of winning all 12 regular-season games and just a 0.1% chance of winning the SEC, according to the FPI, which does give Tennessee a 72.9% chance of winning at least six games and a 1.7% chance of winning the SEC East I can’t really argue with any of that.
The Vols finished the 2019 season ranked 33rd in the FPI rankings and currently sit at 19th in the 2020 preseason rankings.
I think Tennessee is going to continue to rise up the college football rankings. That might mean another 7-5 regular season or an 8-4 regular season, but if I had to insert my prediction, I would say that Tennessee will not lose more than five games.